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Pick: start Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.80 Bookmaker: Betsafe vCash: No Posted: May 25, 2007, 12:21
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Pick: FC Moscow (0) Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 2.00 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No Posted: May 20, 2007, 16:50
These teams are close in the table, but I see quality difference between them. Dinamo was lucky in many matches this season and didn't deserved to take so many points. FC Moscow after 7 rounds streak without lost made two lost matches in last two rounds. They lost in Nalchik with unlucky own goal and lost from Khimki at home (without 2 atackers).
I see FC MOscow better team and can't see losing 3 in a row, especially against overrated Dinamo.
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Pick: VPS (-0.25) Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.87 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No Posted: May 20, 2007, 01:32
VPS is better team then Jaro on the paper, but they had very hard schedule, so, they are still without win, placed at the bottom.
After 3 home draws with Tampere, Mypa and Honka, they finally have easier opponent in a derby match. They will miss suspended def. Hyyhönen to this game, but he's not so important. Jaro will be without two regular defenders, suspended Jens Portin and injured Matthias Kullström. Def. Jesper Törnqvist is also probably out injured.
Jaro is one of the worst teams in league, but they were lucky to score from almost every chance against lahti and make surprise. In other matches they made two draws and 2 lost and showed nothing special.
With these absences in defense Jaro have only slim chance for taking points here. I believe VPS will take first win and thay have 50% chances to win at least. Therefore, -0.25 handicap is good value.
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Pick: Kuban Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.67 Bookmaker: Bet365 vCash: No Posted: May 19, 2007, 17:45
Maybe not so acceptable odds on home win, but I can't resist to take it.
Kuban drew all 5 home matches, some of them they were better and deserved to win. Opponents were very hard (spartak, lokomotiv, Zenit, Saturn) and only Nalchik was easier opponent.
Luch is known as good home team, because it is hard for opponent to travel to Vladivostok, but it is also hard for luch to play away matches.
It is time for Kuban to finally take deserved 3 home points and this is a perfect opportunity.
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Pick: Rostov (-0.25) Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.86 Bookmaker: 10bet vCash: No Posted: May 19, 2007, 13:57
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Pick: Honefoss (-1) Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.96 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No Posted: May 16, 2007, 14:07
Honefoss is very good team for this league in last couple of years, but they couldn't reach Tippeligaen. This season they have strong squad who will probably be at upper-part of table.
On the other side Lov Ham is expected to fight to avoid relegation.
Honefoss had hard schedule at home (0:0 Bodo, 1:1 Haugesund, 1:4 Bryne), but they won away against Tromsdallen 2:1, Raufoss 2:0 and drew with Molde away too. Now, they want to make first home win and they have much easier opponent then in previous rounds. Lov Ham have 1-2-3 record.
Missings Hønefoss: J.Räsänen(D 0games) and K.Di Vita Jensen(A 0games)
Missings LøvHam: W.Oluoch(M 4games) and S.Sari(A 0games). S.Birkeland(M 6games) and S.Marøy(A 4games) are doubtful.
I see finally home win for Honefoss, hope it will be clear win with bigger margin.
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Pick: Stromsgodset (-0.5) Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.83 Bookmaker: Bet365 vCash: No Posted: May 16, 2007, 09:39
Newcomer Stromsgodset had very good start of season with 2-3-1 record. At home they beat Odd Grenland 2:1, despite playing with 10 men; made draw against maybe best team Lillestrom (early they left with 10 men and 0:1 result, but made equalizer); draw against Lyn. In last match they beat 2:1 Rosenborg in Trondhaim.
On the other side, Alesund is very poor this season 0-2-4 record and in last match they were lucky to get a point in away match against Lyn (0:0).
Nice odds on home win, probably due to underrating Stromsgodset by considering them as newcomers. Anything then home win could be big surprise IMO.
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Pick: under 2.75 Result: Pending Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.76 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No Posted: May 15, 2007, 21:30
Viking started with 4 unders, then made 2:1 win in 78' against bad Odd Grenland (Petar Ijeh scored both goals). Last match they lost 1:4 away from Lillestrom, but Petar Ijeh got red card when was 1:1 and Lillestrem took 1 man more advantage.
Viking has 5-9 goal difference, but Petar Ijex scored 4 goals. He will be out for this match, due to red card against lillestrom. Viking have very big problems with scoring, their main chances are shoots outside 16m. It will be very hard for them to score against Lyn without Ijeh.
Lyn have 4 over and two under, but Viking have well organized defense and I doubt they will score more than twice. I expekt something like 0:0 0:1 0:2 1:1 1:2.
Lyn (0) looks also good pick, but somehow I don't see big value in that at the moment. I will decide later maybe to take Lyn too.
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Pick: GAIS (+0.75) 2 Result: 0:1 Stake: 8/10 Odds: 2.05 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No Posted: May 14, 2007, 17:31
Djurgarden is the most overated team in Allswenskan at the moment IMO. They made 2 home wins (one was clear, other was nothing special), while in first two away matces they was totally outplayed and even made only 2-3 shoots on goal in the whole matches. Therefore, I expected Elfsborg will beat them, but they again was worse side and took 2:2 draw. Today they will probably miss important Matias Jensen.
GAIS is underrated team IMO. In Malmo they defend very good and lost only 0:1 (malmo is one of the best teams) and was totally better in Gefle, but don't know how they lost 0:1. So, They have scoring problems, but defense is good and Djurgarden won't easily score against them. I hope GAIS will finally score away and probably it will be enough for my bet to win.
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Pick: Goteborg Result: 2:0 Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.60 Bookmaker: Interwetten vCash: No Posted: May 14, 2007, 17:11
In first 5 rounds Goteborg has made poor home results and good away results. They made draw at home against Halmstad 1:1 and lost form AIK 1:2, but both matches were equal. Other 3 matches as visitors they won against Brommapojkarna (2:1), Orebro (impressive 4:0) and 1:1 in Trelleborg (Trelleborg was better).
Now, Goteborg is seeking for a first home win and today they will reach it IMO.
Gefle is well known home team playing on artificiall grass, but away they are nothing special (lost from Helsingborg 1:3 and luckily drew in Elfsborg). At home they made 0:0 against Orebro, luckily won against GAIS and won against Kalmar in tight match.
Goteborg was impresive in Orebro and in front of home fans, they should finally take 3 points against bad away team who have some important missings (important creative midfielder Makondéle is out for personal reasons, while the other congolese midfielder Bapuba is injured) and two tight wins in a row.
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Pick: GIF Sundsval (0) 1 Result: 3:0 Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.81 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No Posted: May 14, 2007, 15:31
This is a match between two former Allsvenskan teams. Sundsvall is known as excellent home team, playing at artificial ground. They started with draw against Mjallby and lost form Enkopings, but then they won against Sylvia and won against the biggest favorite for promotion -Hacken away.
Main reason for this pick isn't good Sundsvall side and artificiall grass. This pick is more against Osters. Osters is one of the biggest candidates for promotion, but it seems they are overrated. They won in against newcomer Bunkeflo, but it wasn't deserved and drew in Falkenberg (poor team). At home they lost from Hacken and drew against Landskrona.
So, Osters have today much harder away task in comparing with lucky win in Bunkeflo and drew in Falkenberg. I think they can win here only with big luck and level bal (0) is very nice bet.
Just to add that Osters is without one of the key players Zavadil.
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